Oscar Predictions

Posted: February 24, 2012 by vindanton in Movies

84th Academy Awards – Hosted By Billy Crystal – Sunday 7pm ABC

By Shaun Smith

Billy Crystal will be hosting for the ninth time

Here’s a rundown of all the Oscar nominees including who I predict will win and who I believe “should” win the award based on my expert film opinion. (He THINKS he’s an expert. From your editor, Vin)

Best Visual Effects

Who Should Win: Harry Potter

Who Will Win: Rise of the Planet of the Apes

After all the hubbub given to the “amazing” CGI apes and Andy Serkis in Rise, I’m fairly confident the Academy will do with them. For me it was a tie between Potter and Hugo but if we’re just going on CGI then I’d give the nod to Harry Potter, practically Hugo but it doesn’t matter since Rise will win.

Best Sound Editing

Who Should Win: Drive

Who Will Win: War Horse

Many of these nominees are really good in the sound department but Drive gets the win for me. Just testing the blu-ray out on my surround sound system was enough for me to give it the award. However, War Horse will more than likely win due to it being a war film and a grand-style one at that. Dragon Tattoo’s audio is too subtle to win and the rest are just forgotten.

Best Sound Mixing

  • The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  • Hugo
  • Moneyball
  • Transformers: Dark of the Moon
  • War Horse

Who Should Win: War Horse

Who Will Win: War Horse

This is one of those cases where none of the nominees are outstanding in their field. War Horse will probably sweep both sound categories and I have no reason to care so War Horse can have it.

Best Original Score

Who Should Win: The Artist

Who Will Win: The Artist

Amazingly enough we have John Williams nominated twice for two Spielberg movies in this category. Unfortunately for Johnny-Boy The Artist will take the award Sunday. Not only will The Artist win but it is well deserved. Without the original score, who knows what The Artist would have turned out to have been? It’s so simple compared to William’s overly dramatic score but works so well.

Best Make-Up

Who Should Win: The Iron Lady

Who Will Win: The Iron Lady

None of these nominees really blow me away in the make-up category. Again like the sound mixing, the winner probably deserves to win. I’m waiting to see the Academy recognize the horror genre of make-up instead of basic touch-ups in Award-quality films.

Best Costume Design

Who Should Win: Hugo

Who Will Win: Hugo

This category is a battle between The Artist and Hugo. To me, The Artist has a basic array of old fashioned attire with a much lower budget whereas Hugo is larger in scale and does much more elaborate costumes.

Best Art Direction

  • The Artist
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
  • Hugo
  • Midnight in Paris
  • War Horse

Who Should Win: Hugo

Who Will Win: Hugo

Again, Hugo is on a much grander-scale than The Artist. I could see Midnight in Paris upsetting the two but it’s another battle between the “art” films.

Best Editing

  • The Artist
  • The Descendants
  • The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
  • Hugo
  • Moneyball

Who Should Win: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Who Will Win: The Artist

Even though The Artist may be the best edited film of the nominees, any editor who works with David Fincher deserves an award (Fincher fans will know exactly what I’m talking about). I’m fine with The Artist winning but my God, Dragon Tattoo couldn’t have been easy to cut.

Best Cinematography

Who Should Win: The Tree of Life

Who Will Win: The Artist

Unlike many of the categories, Cinematography is one of the few that every nominee is deserving of the award. I feel The Artist will get the win just because it’s black and white (If you film fans remember, the Academy used to award Cinematography in both color and black and white). However the two best on the list is Dragon Tattoo and Tree of Life (both shot on the Red Epic, coincidence?) Even though I hated Tree of Life, it looks fantastic and should win.

Best Animated Feature

Who Should Win: Puss in Boots

Who Will Win: Rango

The only nominee I’ve seen is Rango and I didn’t enjoy it that much so by default I need to pick something else. I want to see Puss in Boots win just so a movie with “Puss” in its title wins.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Who Should Win: Moneyball

Who Will Win: The Descendants

Honestly, I don’t understand why the screenplay for The Descendants is being praised so heavily. To me it’s average at best with an uneven lead story shifting from Clooney’s character to the Hawaiian land story. Not to mention the only flushed out character in the script is the teenage daughter. Moneyball’s screenplay has the Aaron Sorkin touch to it and made the film.

Best Original Screenplay

Who Should Win: Midnight in Paris

Who Will Win: Midnight in Paris

By default the Academy has given Woody Allen a Best Screenplay Oscar. There is little to no competition in this category. Honestly Midnight should win, not because it’s the best script of the year but to show how depleted the field is. How 50/50 was left out is still beyond me but this is a different topic for another article.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Who Should Win: Melissa McCarthy for “Bridesmaids

Who Will Win: Octavia Spencer for “The Help

This category is one of the few locks of the night. Octavia will win but to me if you take McCarthy out of Bridesmaids, the film is no better than a straight-to-DVD American Pie flick. Yes it might be a little controversial to give a sit-com actress an Oscar but hey, Jennifer Hudson has one, why not?

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Who Should Win: Nick Nolte for “Warrior

Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer for “Beginners

Looks like we got a bunch of grizzled old veterans of the screen nominated in this category, and Jonah Hill. Plummer is almost as much of a lock as Octavia Spencer to win, but I feel Nick Nolte’s portrayal as an alcoholic MMA trainer is heartbreakingly amazing and deserves to win.

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Who Should Win: Rooney Mara for “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Who Will Win: Viola Davis for “The Help

The category is one of the more tough ones to call. The easiest thing is to pick who deserves to win and no actress had a more daring or intense performance than Rooney Mara. Mara has little to no chance to win and the race is really between Davis and Streep. I feel the Academy is in love with The Help and will award Davis who deservingly will win. Let’s not forget, Streep has been nominated five times since 2000, three times in the last 4 years and lost every time.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Who Should Win: Gary Oldman for “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” (Nope, Brad Pitt…love, Vin)

Who Will Win: George Clooney for “The Descendants

To me the most deserving of this award are Oldman and Dujardin. I love Clooney as an actor and director but his performance in The Descendants is average at best, but then again he did the best with the material he was given. Oldman winning is more sentimental than anything. Not that Oldman doesn’t deserve it for his work in the film, it’s just about time he at least got nominated. Dujardin perfectly pulled off a 1920s-30s silent actor and would be a fitting winner. Also I can see why Brad Pitt is nominated but he’s basically playing himself chewing gum with a Billy name tag.

Best Director

Who Should Win: Michel Hazanavicius for “The Artist

Who Will Win: Michel Hazanavicius for “The Artist

I don’t think another director had a more difficult task to accomplish with their film, well maybe Malick, than Michel Hazanavicius. How do you put together a silent film in the age of Transformers and special FX craziness? Not only did he pull it off but he did it perfectly. I could see Payne getting the win but I feel the Academy will give some love to The Artist.

Best Picture

  • The Artist
  • The Descendants
  • Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
  • The Help
  • Hugo
  • Midnight in Paris
  • Moneyball
  • The Tree of Life
  • War Horse

Who Should Win: The Artist

Who Will Win: The Artist

It seems Hollywood has become enamored with The Artist and deservingly so. I’m not going to hark on what should have been nominated; instead I’m only focusing on the nine films up for the award. This is really a two man race, The Artist and The Descendants. Due to all the raves the film has gotten, I feel The Artist will beat out the competition.

  1. lulukh says:


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