Golden Globe Film Predictions 2011-2012

Posted: January 10, 2012 by vindanton in Movies

By Shaun Smith

The Golden Globes are the first step on the Road to the Oscars and will be held this Sunday January 15th at 8pm. Each category has their favorites to win but just who deserves the prestigious globe? The following analysis is only for the film portion of the awards, no TV. Besides, the lack of Breaking Bad nominations deters every reason to even pay attention to the TV categories.

Best Animated Film:

–       The Adventures of Tin Tin

–       Arthur Christmas

–       Cars 2

–       Puss in Boots

–       Rango

Who Should Win: Any of them

Who Will Win: Tin Tin

To be honest, the only one of these films I even gave the time of day was Rango and even that one wasn’t the best ever. According to critical reviews, all five films are pretty good but I could really care less and I know the Hollywood Foreign Press loves Spielberg so he will probably win.

Best Screenplay:

–       The Artist

–       The Descendants

–       The Ides of March

–       Midnight in Paris

–       Moneyball

Who Should Win: Moneyball

Who Will Win: The Descendants

The front runner here is the critically acclaimed script co-written by Alexander Payne but to me the script is very basic and adds little to the film. Moneyball, however, utilizes Aaron Sorkin to his full capabilities and creates a baseball film that can be understood and enjoyed by non-baseball fans. The odd thing about this category is the missing 50/50, probably the best original script of the year.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture- Musical or Comedy:

–       Jodie Foster (Carnage)

–       Charlize Theron (Young Adult)

–       Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)

–       Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)

–       Kate Winslet (Carnage)

Who Should Win: Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)

Who Will Win: Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)

There wasn’t much competition here and it looks like Williams will walk out with the award. Remember, she is playing a real life person so more than likely the voters will float her way. I will say that there is a small shot that Kristen Wiig may win due to all the love Bridesmaids has gotten this year.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture- Musical or Comedy:

–       Jean Dujardin (The Artist)

–       Brendan Gleeson (The Guard)

–       Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50)

–       Ryan Gosling (Crazy, Stupid, Love.)

–       Owen Wilson (Midnight in Paris)

Who Should Win: Jean Dujardin (The Artist)

Who Will Win: Jean Dujardin (The Artist)

This is probably the easiest category to pick. The critics have praised The Artist and the fact that a silent film is getting so much recognition and was even made in 2011 is remarkable. For that reason alone Dujardin is the standout but it also helps that his performance makes the film.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

–       Berenice Bejo (The Artist)

–       Jessica Chastain (The Help)

–       Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)

–       Octavia Spencer (The Help)

–       Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)

Who Should Win: Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)

Who Will Win: Jessica Chastain (The Help)

Every single actress in this category is a virtual unknown (except Chastain showed up in 6 films in 2011 including Tree of Life and The Debt). At the moment, Chastain seems to be the front runner but Woodley basically is The Descendants and gives a great performance.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

–       Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)

–       Albert Brooks (Drive)

–       Jonah Hill (Moneyball)

–       Viggo Mortenson (A Dangerous Method)

–       Christopher Plummer (The Beginners)

Who Should Win: Albert Brooks (Drive)

Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer (The Beginners)

A strong field of supporting actors this year but for an overall performance you can’t go wrong with Albert Brooks in Drive. There may not be a more chilling performance in a supporting role all year. He’s so good as a bad guy that you wonder why he hardly ever played one. However, Plummer has been award-less for a long time and is building a realistic Oscar run so this one is his first step. Plus the Hollywood Foreign Press will be all over Plummer.

Best Director – Motion Picture:

–       Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)

–       George Clooney (The Ides of March)

–       Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)

–       Alexander Payne (The Descendants)

–       Martin Scorsese (Hugo)

Who Should Win: George Clooney (The Ides of March)

Who Will Win: Alexander Payne (The Descendants)

Again, The Descendants is garnering all the praise from critics during this award season which means it most likely will see Payne winning. However, Clooney has been impressive as a director and was able to take material that may have seemed boring or too political and turned it into a powerful political drama. There’s also a slight chance Hazanavicius could win since it is after all the Hollywood “Foreign” Press but I feel Payne has all the momentum.

Best Motion Picture- Musical or Comedy:

–       The Artist

–       Bridesmaids

–       50/50

–       Midnight in Paris

–       My Week with Marilyn

Who Should Win: 50/50

Who Will Win: The Artist

For the first time in a long, long time the Musical or Comedy category holds significantly better contenders than the Drama choices. This also is an easy category to predict, The Artist will win. To me, 50/50 is the best overall film of the bunch. Yes, The Artist is great and does something unseen in over 80 years but 50/50 is a real comedy with real emotion attached to it. To think of it, The Artist isn’t a musical nor comedy but the Foreign Press needs to get them a win somehow. 50/50 is Jonathan Levine showing his filmmaking muscle and deserves the win.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture- Drama:

–       Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)

–       Viola Davis (The Help)

–       Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

–       Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)

–       Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)

Who Should Win: Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

Who Will Win: Viola Davis (The Help)

Here is another opportunity for The Help to pick up gold. Even though Meryl Streep seems to be the frontrunner, The Iron Lady’s reviews have been less than stellar. Normally films with bad reviews and great individual performances don’t end up winning. With Streep counted out, the next favorite is Davis. The most deserving is Rooney Mara for her complete transformation and commitment to her role. To me there isn’t a better performance from an actress this year than Mara.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture- Drama:

–       George Clooney (The Descendants)

–       Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)

–       Michael Fassbender (Shame)

–       Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)

–       Brad Pitt (Moneyball)

Who Should Win: Michael Fassbender (Shame)

Who Will Win: George Clooney (The Descendants)

This is another strong competition between these five actors. More than likely Clooney will pick up third Golden Globe for his performance in The Descendants. As acclaimed as Clooney’s role is, to me it is not award quality. For the longest time people expected Brad Pitt to win but his steam has immensely run its course. Fassbender gives the most daring and interesting performance of the year. He really commands the screen with his presence and can go from a subtle state to freaking out in seconds. His character seems the most realistic of the bunch and deserves the award.

Best Motion Picture- Drama:

–       The Descendants

–       The Help

–       Hugo

–       The Ides of March

–       Moneyball

–       War Horse

Who Should Win: The Ides of March

Who Will Win: The Descendants

The Descendants is the clear favorite to win Best Picture at the Globes this year but the most complete film on the list is my pick of who should win, The Ides of March. Again, Clooney takes what would normally be a boring subject (a senator running for office) and turns it into a relentless political thriller. It also helps that Ides boasts a stunning cast and good writing. Unfortunately there are a number of deserving films that were left off the Best Picture list, such as Drive, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo. The only dark horse I can see in this race is The Help but more than likely The Descendants are a lock to win.


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